What Does "A 50% Chance of Rain" Actually Mean?

submitted by Huzzaz on 07/30/17 1

Your friendly local weather person says there's a 10% chance it will rain today, so you throw on your flip-flops and head out to enjoy a beautiful day. Next thing you know, you're running through puddles, trying to get out of a torrential downpour. Bad luck or bad weather person? Hosted by: Michael Aranda ---------- Support SciShow by becoming a patron on Patreon: www.patreon.com/scishow ---------- Dooblydoo thanks go to the following Patreon supporters—Alexander Wadsworth, Kevin Bealer, Mark Terrio-Cameron, KatieMarie Magnone, Patrick Merrithew, Charles Southerland, Fatima Iqbal, Sultan Alkhulaifi, Tim Curwick, Scott Satovsky Jr, Philippe von Bergen, Bella Nash, Chris Peters, Patrick D. Ashmore, Piya Shedden, Charles George ---------- Looking for SciShow elsewhere on the internet? Facebook: www.facebook.com/scishow Twitter: www.twitter.com/scishow Tumblr: scishow.tumblr.com Instagram: instagram.com/thescishow ---------- Sources: www.weather.gov/ffc/pop weather.com/news/news/heres-why-it-rained-when-your-forecast-said-10-percent-20130816 www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2015/11/27/do-you-or-your-meteorologist-understand-what-40-chance-of-rain-means/#e0adca725d56 journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0058.1

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