In 2006, Syria suffered its worst drought in 900 years which experts cited as a contributing factor to the social unrest and riots preceding the current civil war. Global “hot spots” - where tensions are high due to overpopulation, resource scarcity, weak governance, underdevelopment, and other causes - are especially susceptible to the destabilizing effects changes in climate can prompt. Manmade or not, governments, militaries, and corporations are taking climate change into account when developing operational strategies – and predicting future needs. What countries are most at risk for climate-induced destabilization and what will that mean for geopolitical alliances?

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